Friday, July 25, 2008

Firesetter on the Population Debate

Firesetter News, a blog run by a young priest in Legazpi, has a calm, comprehensive, and well-thought out arguments regarding the population debate. The entry looks at several statistical factors and how they play out into the population trends.

Some points:

1. The country's population growth rate is in steady decline, from 2.07 in 2000 to 1.728 in 2008.

2. The birth rate, too, has lowered from 27.85/1000 population in 2000 to 24.07/1000 in 2008.

3. The infant mortality rate, a key issue in the reproductive health debate, has also lowered from as high as 29.52/1000 live births in 2000 to 21.45/1000 live births in 2008.

4. Life expectancy has improved from age 67.48 in 2000 to age 70.8 in 2008.

5. Now here's the clincher, the total fertility rate (TFR) is also in steady decline, from 3.48 in 2000 to around 3.0 in 2008.

6. On the matter of HIV-AIDS cases, the adult (age 15-49) prevalence rate of .07% of the general population in 2001 has surged and then plateaued at .1% since 2003 till the present. The number of people living with HIV-AIDS has significantly decreased from around 28,000 in 2001 to around 9,000 in 2004 till the present. The number of deaths due to AIDS has also significantly lowered, from 1,200 in 2001 to 500 in 2004 till the present.

Sources for these figures come from Index Mundi.


  1. OOooohhh... so the population is declining???!!!
    I didn't know that!

    Hurray! Yes yes yo!
    If this furhter improves maybe can we see a big improvement in the economy???

    Hmmm... by the way Doms you contribute to the statistic being single and not having illegitimate children out there... hehehhe!!!

  2. Dom,
    Double-check your links on this post.

  3. Anonymous: no, the population is not declining. If it was, that would disastrous. It would mean mortality rates are exceeding birth rates. What's declining is the rate of increase.

    You'll see an improvement in the economy if and only if corruption is reduced or eliminated, and if legitimate economic programs are put into action.

    And...1 Corinthians 7:28.

  4. Hi, Robert: fixed it, thanks.